Are Home Prices Rising or Falling in Pflugerville, TX?
The housing market in Pflugerville, a city near Austin, TX, has tilted firmly in favor of buyers, with prices down about 9% from a year ago. Here's why, and what buyers and sellers should know today.
The National Picture
Home prices nationally rose 2% year over year in the 3 months ending August 2026, with the U.S. median reaching about $399,000. The typical household earns roughly $88,000 and devotes about 34% of that to housing, down nearly 2 percentage points from last year. Roughly 20% of listings carry a price cut, there are about four months of supply, and the median time to sell is 50 days.
Home Prices in the Austin Area
Austin's metro median has fallen to about $414,000, down roughly 6% from last year. The typical household in the area earns around $109,000, with about 34% going to housing costs — a share that has fallen 2 percentage points year over year. Pflugerville's decline has been steeper than the metro average.
Falling Prices and Room to Negotiate
Pflugerville's median sale price dropped about 9% to $361,000, roughly $34,000 less than buyers would have paid a year ago. Nearly half of listings have had a price reduction, and only about 11% of homes sold above asking. The sale-to-list ratio sits at 98%, meaning most deals close slightly below the listed price. In nearby Windermere, prices fell even further — down about 13% to $284,000.
Why Are Prices Falling in Pflugerville?
A flood of new inventory has outpaced buyer demand. Active listings surged 26% from last year, and new listings rose 12%. Pending sales did jump about 30%, which may begin to close the gap, but at 4.5 months of supply and 68 days on market, sellers still need to compete for attention. With nearly half of listings reduced, buyers in Pflugerville have meaningful negotiating power.
| Neighborhood | Median Price | Price YoY | Price Drops | Months of Supply |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pflugerville ★ | $361,261 | -8.5% | 48.3% | 4.5 |
| Windermere | $284,313 | -12.5% | 28.5% | 4.0 |
| Hutto | $334,778 | -4.3% | 40.0% | 4.6 |
| Buda | $398,736 | -2.1% | 50.0% | 5.6 |
| Lago Vista | $399,735 | -12.5% | 48.3% | 7.1 |
| Manor | $308,306 | -9.3% | 51.2% | 6.6 |
Limited to neighborhoods with at least 10 home sales in the period.
All data comes from Redfin and represents a three-month rolling average ending August 2026. This article has been generated, in whole or in part, using generative artificial intelligence (AI) technology, with input from Redfin head of economics research Chen Zhao. While efforts have been made to ensure the accuracy and reliability of this information, you should independently verify all data, facts, and citations contained in this article before relying on it for any purpose. This information is not a substitute for advice from a real estate agent, financial advisor, or other licensed professional. Check the Redfin Data Center for additional in-depth housing market data.
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